India
India is a founding member of the SASEC Program, joining with Bangladesh, Bhutan, and Nepal in 2001 to form this project-based partnership. Maldives and Sri Lanka became full members of SASEC in May 2014, following several years as active observers.
The country released its comprehensive national Strategy for New India @ 75, which defines growth objectives for 2022 and discusses policy recommendations in such areas as energy, infrastructure, and connectivity. The development strategy aims to help India achieve broad-based economic growth to ensure balanced development across all regions and states and across sectors.
SASEC Projects in India
Since 2002, the Government of India has signed 22 SASEC investment projects worth around $7.43 billion.
Source: SASEC Project Portfolio, as of December 2023
In addition to the projects, technical assistance has supported SASEC investment projects in India, regional cooperation forums and knowledge-sharing initiatives, and pilot projects since 2001. A total of 20 national technical assistance projects (cumulative worth around $23.53 million) have assisted India in project preparation, strategic planning, and capacity building.
Trade Snapshot
Direction of Intra-regional Trade
The value of India's merchandise exports and imports trade with other SASEC countries, using International Monetary Fund data from 2023, is captured in the tables below.
India's top import source from the SASEC subregion is Bangladesh, with imported goods valued at almost $2 billion. Sri Lanka follows, with imported goods valued at over $1 billion.
Bangladesh is India's 5th largest export market, with exports valued at almost $14 billion. Nepal is India's 15th largest export market, where exported goods from India is valued at over $8.5 billion.
India Trade - Import
Source: IMF Direction of Trade Statistics, accessed December 2023India Trade - Export
Source: IMF Direction of Trade Statistics, accessed December 2023Logistics Performance Index (LPI)
India scored 3.4 and raised its ranking to 38 out of 139 economies in 2023. The country posted its best scores in timeliness (3.6), logistics competence (3.5), and international shipments (3.5).
Source: World Bank LPI (accessed May 2023)
Note: The LPI overall score reflects perceptions of a country's logistics based on six core dimensions: (i) efficiency of customs clearance process, (ii) quality of trade- and transport-related infrastructure, (iii) ease of arranging competitively priced shipments, (iv) quality of logistics services, (v) ability to track and trace consignments, and (vi) frequency with which shipments reach the consignee within the scheduled time. The scores for the six areas are averaged across all respondents and aggregated to a single score using principal components analysis. A higher score indicates better performance.
Economic Outlook
India's gross domestic product (GDP) is forecast at 7.0% in fiscal year (FY) 2024 and 7.2% in FY2025, after a strong momentum in manufacturing and services in FY2023 and with net exports expected to pick up in FY2025 with the rise in global growth. Growth in FY2024 and FY2025 will be driven by rising investment demand and consumption demand. Inflation will ease in FY2024 to 4.6% and in FY2025 to 4.5%.
Source: Asian Development Outlook April 2024 (ADB)Robust growth is projected for India at 7.5% in FY2023-2024 continuing an upward trend from the previous fiscal year. In FY2024-2025, real GDP growth is forecast to moderate to 6.6% due to a deceleration in investment, though services and industry will continue to be grow. Inflation remains within the 2% to 6% target range of India’s Reserve Bank.
Source: South Asia Development Update April 2024 (WB)