Bangladesh
Bangladesh is a founding member of the South Asia Subregional Economic Cooperation (SASEC) Program, joining with Bhutan, India, and Nepal in 2001 to form this project-based partnership. Maldives and Sri Lanka became full members of SASEC in May 2014, following several years as active observers.
The Eighth Five-Year Plan for 2018–2023 of the Government of Bangladesh focuses on the following core themes: i) rapid recovery from COVID-19; ii) GDP growth acceleration, employment generation, and rapid poverty reduction with a broad-based strategy of inclusiveness; iii) a sustainable development pathway resilient to disaster and climate change; iv) sustainable use of natural resources and successful management of the inevitable urbanization transition v) development and improvement of critical institutions; and vi) attaining targets of the Sustainable Development Goals and coping with the impact of graduation from least developed country status. In follow up to the the Seventh Five Year Plan FY2016-F2020, the transport sector strategy places emphasis in areas where performance gaps exist to develop an efficient, sustainable, safe, and regionally balanced transportation system. The plan highlights the introduction of modern technology for increasing capacity and improving quality and productivity of the system, development of the two seaports with smooth transport links to Dhaka, establishment of effective railway linkages between the east and west zones of the country, integration of road, rail and inland water transport, and participation in global and regional transport connectivity initiatives that help develop the land route links between South Asia and East Asia through Bangladesh.
SASEC Projects in Bangladesh
Since 2005, the Government of Bangladesh has signed 23 SASEC investment projects worth over $7.91 billion.
Bangladesh: SASEC Project Portfolio, as of December 2023
In addition to the projects, ADB-financed technical assistance has supported SASEC investment projects in Bangladesh, regional cooperation forums, and knowledge-sharing initiatives, and pilot projects since 2001. A total of 25 national technical assistance projects (worth over $28 million) have assisted Bangladesh in project preparation, strategic planning, and capacity building.
Trade Snapshot
Direction of Intra-regional Trade
The value of Bangladesh's merchandise exports and imports trade with other SASEC countries, using International Monetary Fund data from 2023, is captured in the tables below.
Bangladesh's top import source, ranking 2nd worldwide, is India, with imported goods valued at over $12.8 billion.
Bangladesh's top export destination in South Asia, and its 9th worldwide, is India, with exports valued at $1.7 billion.
Bangladesh Trade - Export
Source: IMF Direction of Trade Statistics, accessed December 2023Logistics Performance Index (LPI)
The overall LPI score of 2.6 for Bangladesh in 2023 ranks it at 88 out of 139 economies. The ranking is higher than its LPI ranking of 100 in 2018. Bangladesh posted its best scores in timeliness (3.0), logistics competence (2.7), and international shipments (2.6).
Source: World Bank LPI (accessed May 2023)
Note: The LPI overall score reflects perceptions of a country's logistics based on six core dimensions: (i) efficiency of customs clearance process, (ii) quality of trade- and transport-related infrastructure, (iii) ease of arranging competitively priced shipments, (iv) quality of logistics services, (v) ability to track and trace consignments, and (vi) frequency with which shipments reach the consignee within the scheduled time. The scores for the six areas are averaged across all respondents and aggregated to a single score using principal components analysis. A higher score indicates better performance.
Economic Outlook
Gross domestic product in Bangladesh is forecast to rise to 6.1% in fiscal year (FY) 2024 and 6.6% in FY2025 behind the growth of export, particularly of low-end garments, and a rebound in industry and services. Inflation is expected to moderate to 8.4% in FY2024 and 7.0% in FY2025.
Source: Asian Development Outlook April 2024 (ADB)Real GDP growth in Bangladesh is projected at 5.6% in FY2023-2024 and 5.7% in FY2024-2025 amid recoveries in industrial activity. Since 2022, inflation in Bangladesh has been above the central bank’s target of 6%.
Source: South Asia Development Update April 2024 (WB)